In my March 29th post, “On Group Think and Catastrophe,” I reproduced a very pointed argument made at our local APSCUF-KU Meet and Discuss table made by former APSCUF-KU Vice President, Ken Ehrensal. His argument called out KU Administration budget officials’ problematic use of “worst-case-scenario” logic, in particular, the logic of a budget catastrophe. Here is an exert from that post:
Second, Ehrensal argued that the budget presentations given by Ken Long, Assistant VP of Administration and Finance, assume every catastrophic scenario. For example, KU’s budget projections assume a 2.5% annual increase in tuition. However, the Chancellor has been talking about a 4% increase. If the Chancellor’s numbers hold, our “budget crisis” will be cut in half. Long also built-in a 3.5% increase in salary for all union employees (including faculty). However, all contracts are up for negotiation this year. New contracts for all university unions will be in place starting July 2011. If the salary increases are lower than 3.5%, the “budget crisis” could be cut in half (I didn’t write down the percentage that Ehrensal was working with). Further, Long built-in to h
is analysis that the PA Legislature will not fix the problem with PSERS (PA State Employee Retirement System). Failure to fix the problem, while possible, is not likely. In short, the budget presentations represent a catastrophic scenario…not a likely scenario.
Despite our best efforts at the table, the administration continued to use these “catastrophic” budget projections in its presentation to faculty, staff, KU’s Board of Trustees, the Chancellor of PASSHE, and, of course, the media. Just about every local news story about Kutztown administration’s move to retrench faculty and staff was willing to print the administration’s story of a dire budget crisis without question. I personally reached out to a few reporters, pointed them to this blog, emailed them, and spoke to them on the phone about the problems with the Kutztown administration’s argument. But, frankly, the adminstration’s narrative was compelling, especially since it seemed to echo that of the broader “economic crisis” narrative in the U.S. today. In some ways, I can understand why our arguments, Ehrensal’s arguments in particular, did not gain traction. It’s not easy to swim against the current of a dominant cultural narrative, especially when that narrative takes the form of a torrential downpour.
But just because a cultural narrative is compelling doesn’t mean that it’s accurate or true. As a scholar and teacher of rhetoric you are taught to be very critical of cultural narratives that seem to “sweep people up” into them. Such narratives are the ones that allow governments, businesses, con-men, and cult leaders get masses of people to do things that in “normal” times they would never do.
Well, that’s where we are folks. KU’s administration has used the “catastrophe” narrative to cut jobs, removed fired administrators and staff from their offices with police escorts, reorganize programs, eliminate majors, all under the cover of media reports that reaffirmed what many people feared: “there’s nothing we can do.” Well, the narrative hasn’t held. As a matter of fact, in turned out that Ehrensal underestimated the degree to which KU’s administration was padding its numbers in order to create the appearance of crisis. Here’s and article from yesterday’s Philadelphia Inquirer:
Pa. system approves 4.5% hike in college tuition
Undergraduate tuition at Pennsylvania’s state-owned colleges will increase $250, or 4.5 percent, under a $1.5 billion budget approved Thursday by the system’s board of governors.
Annual tuition for full-time resident undergraduates beginning this fall will be $5,804, which the Pennsylvania State System of Higher Education said was the lowest among all four-year colleges and universities in the state. The system said it would receive $503.4 million in state and federal funding to support the current-year operating budget.
Resident graduate school tuition in 2010-11 will be $6,966, an increase of $300. Nonresident graduate tuition will increase $480, to $11,146. – Inquirer staff
You with me here? Recall Ehrensal’s argument:
For example, KU’s budget projections assume a 2.5% annual increase in tuition. However, the Chancellor has been talking about a 4% increase. If the Chancellor’s numbers hold, our “budget crisis” will be cut in half.
Put simply, KU’s “budget crisis” has just been trimmed over 50% without a single faculty member losing her or his job, no program consolidation, no outsourcing of vehicles (yes, KU is now outsourcing to Enterprise Rent-a-Car at a cost of $41 a day. I have heard, but haven’t yet confirmed that this is a PASSHE initiative). So, there’s half your budget crisis. It also looks like the PA Legislature is going to resolve the “crisis” in PSERS. That “crisis” was supposedly going to put KU back by around $6 million. Assuming that crisis have been averted, as predicted by Ehrensal, that cuts the “crisis” back even further. You still following?
What this basically means is that KU’s administration and the administration at other PASSHE universities are not simply carrying out German-style austerity measures. They are restructuring the State University system under the cover of the “budget crisis.” As if citizens of the Commonwealth haven’t already experienced more than their share of “belt-tightening.” Now, KU’s administration is given us all a spooky story right before bed in order to decrease citizens access to higher eduction–the very thing we’re told that is required to lift us out of this downturn. Unjust desserts for the majority once again.
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